2018年3月15日 星期四

After the Spring Festival


The CPI dropped significantly year-on-year. After the Spring Festival, a combination of falling demand and rising temperatures led to plentiful supply, and domestic food prices have continued to fall since march. According to the ministry of commerce monitoring data, the price of edible agricultural products fell sharply in the first three weeks of march. Taken together, non-food prices are expected to fall slightly to 2.2 per cent this month compared with the previous month. At the same time, this month it was 1.3 per cent, up 0.33 percentage points from last month. Based on the above factors, the year-on-year CPI inflation rate in March 2018 is likely to be 2.3% to 2.5%, with a median value of 2.4%, a significant decrease from last month.
credit card payment debt by CCB(Asia)'s personal loans with low interest rate and flexible repayment tenor. Clear all your card debts and achieve greater financial flexibility by applying our service now! Recently, as trade wars between China and the United States have heated up, the market is worried that a trade war will lead to a resurgence of domestic inflationary pressures. However, the analysis reveals that, first of all, the current trade war between China and the United States is not really open. The two sides are still in the exploratory stage, and the possibility of settling disputes through negotiation will not be ruled out in the future. Second, China's current response to the us is focused on the imposition of tariffs on several types of us exports to China, such as fruit, nuts and pork. Because these kinds of agricultural products account for a small proportion of China's imports, the proportion of domestic consumption is negligible. Even if the tariff is imposed, the impact on domestic prices will be very small. Third, America's exports to China of goods, products such as soybean and waste paper is high, do not rule out future trade war after the upgrade, China to counter the United States to import tariffs on these products, leading to domestic related products prices, fueling domestic CPI. However, it is not expected that such a possibility will occur, and even if it happens, considering that these commodities have a relatively low CPI weight in China, the overall lifting rate of the CPI will not exceed 0.5 percentage points.
Company registration hong kong Most reliable provider of Hong Kong company formation, registration and accounting taxation services, to help global entrepreneurs to set up and expand business in Hong Kong and China, contact easyCorp now. In 2018 prices will remain moderate, with little chance of a return to inflation. The CPI is expected to be less than 2.5 percent in the year to 2018, still below the 3 percent policy target, let alone high inflation, and prices will not be the focus of the year's macro policy priorities.
PPI inflation continued to fall. PPI has fallen for three straight months and may continue to fall in March. Overall, the PPI is expected to rise between 3% and 3.4% in March, with a median value of 3.2%, continuing a downward trend.
Composite CPI and PPI trends, estimated in the future will continue to narrow, the difference between the two prices overall moderate operation, on the one hand to the by the high economic growth to changes in the development of high quality to provide a good environment, also leave a flexible space for macro policy operation. If friction between China and the United States increases, a trade war will reach a certain level, which could affect the price of industrial products and the overall price level in the future.
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